2010: Alzheimer's Facts and Figures (part 5)

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Alzheimer's Association


Looking to the Future
The number of Americans surviving into their 80s and
90s and beyond is expected to grow dramatically due
to advances in medicine and medical technology, as
well as social and environmental conditions. Since the
incidence and prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease and
other dementias increase with age, the number of
people with these conditions will also grow rapidly.
• In 2000, there were an estimated 411,000 new
(incident) cases of Alzheimer’s disease. For 2010,
that number is projected to be 454,000 new cases;
by 2030, 615,000; and by 2050, 959,000.(31)
• This year, more than an estimated 5.5 million
Americans are 85 years and older; by 2050, that
number will nearly quadruple to 19 million.
• While the number of Americans aged 100 years and
older is estimated at 80,000 in 2010, by 2050 there
will be more than a half million Americans aged
100 years and older.
• The 85-years-and-older population currently includes
about 2.4 million people with Alzheimer’s disease,
or 47 percent of the Alzheimer population aged 65
and over. When the first wave of baby boomers
reaches age 85 years (2031), an estimated
3.5 million people aged 85 and older will have
Alzheimer’s.(10)
• The number of people aged 65 and older with
Alzheimer’s disease is estimated to reach 7.7 million
in 2030 — more than a 50 percent increase from the
5.1 million aged 65 and older currently affected.(10)
• By 2050, the number of individuals aged 65 and
older with Alzheimer’s is projected to number
between 11 million and 16 million — unless medical
breakthroughs identify ways to prevent or more
effectively treat the disease. Barring such developments,
by 2050 more than 60 percent of people with
Alzheimer’s disease will be aged 85 or older.(10)